The 3 trends shaping the U.S. labor market in 2023

4 min read
The 3 trends shaping the U.S. labor market in 2023

The U.S. labor market continues to be a major headache for business leaders. Despite the millions who left—or were forced out of the workforce during the pandemic—current job openings continue to outpace the number of unemployed individuals actively looking for work. In addition, low labor participation rates have contributed to less productivity and greater inflation, major issues plaguing the U.S. economy.

Looking ahead, leading economists expect the economy to sag in the first half of this year as quarantine savings that have cushioned many households are depleted, and those who stepped out of the workforce during the pandemic will begin job searching. We’re already seeing labor force participation rise slightly, according to the December U.S. jobs report that added 223,000 jobs.

But finally, some good news: The rise in labor force participation could mitigate the labor shortage and alleviate some of the building inflationary pressures. It’s worth watching how the Federal Reserve responds to these developments, as it will contribute to whether the U.S. enters a deeper recession or experiences a softer landing.

As the U.S. labor market continues to be a source of concern, companies must have strategies to navigate the challenges presented by inflation, the potential for a recession, and changing consumer spending patterns. Here are three approaches that can help businesses retain and acquire top talent, proactively adapt to changes in the job market, and stay competitive in a rapidly evolving business environment.

Now is the time to attract tech talent

Mass tech layoffs are only a part of the story. Other sectors outside of tech are ramping up recruitment efforts. It’s puzzling: If the economy is headed toward a recession, why are many industries still hiring and growing?

It’s because consumer spending on services—including car rentals, hotels, and transportation—is surging in demand as these industries recover from the pandemic. As a result, job opportunities continue to grow even as the economy slows down.

Industries like clean energy manufacturing, semiconductor manufacturing, pharmaceutical, and healthcare are also experiencing high levels of growth as they adjust to a new normal. Some of the fastest-growing occupations in data processing, hosting services, semiconductor manufacturing, mental health services, and pharma manufacturing are all experiencing an increase in demand—and wages.

With thousands of skilled tech workers open for work, it’s an ideal time for growing companies to make a strong case for those tech workers to jump industries.

Double down on upskilling high-potential employees

During a recession, companies may be forced to make difficult decisions about workforces, including implementing layoffs or hiring freezes. However, another path could be for organizations to focus on upskilling their high-potential employees instead of letting some go. This helps the business retain valuable talent, a top priority for CEOs in 2023, and prepares employees for new opportunities within the organization, positioning them for future success.

Investing in employee development can also help the organization stay competitive and adapt to market changes. In the long run, upskilling high-potential employees can lead to improved productivity, increased innovation, and a stronger, more resilient workforce.

To make this work, it comes down to how well business leaders understand their workforces — and their people’s skills. For companies to ensure they are strategically and effectively upskilling, leaders need deep-learning AI and skills intelligence to conduct skills assessments at scale, identify emerging future skills, and assign personalized upskilling and training plans.

Engage freelance workers to fill skill gaps

A third of HR leaders plan to increase their freelance budget in 2023. Supplementing the workforce with contingent workers can be a smart strategic move to help companies meet their workload needs, boost productivity, and get tasks quickly done—especially to meet short-term or urgent needs.

Fortunately, the supply of contingent workers looks ready to meet the demand. Eightfold AI’s analysis estimates a 25 percent increase in contingent workers in the U.S. this year.

Contingent workers are a valuable asset to any organization, as they can be hired for specific skill sets on a project-by-project basis rather than tied to the needs of a full-time role. This flexibility allows organizations to engage specialized expertise as needed, complementing the growing trend toward skills-based hiring. This elastic approach to talent will enable companies to fill skill gaps and meet workload demands more cost-effectively.

Sania Khan is the former chief economist at Eightfold AI, the AI-powered platform for all talent, and the author of Think Like an Economist. She previously worked for the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This article originally appeared on Fast Company in February.

You might also like...

Eightfold AI Layoffs 2026
Eightfold AI Layoffs 2026
Nov 22, 2022 – 1 min read – Eightfold AI

New talent insights research from Eightfold AI highlights why those impacted by tech layoffs are still in demand.

Worker-Focused Hiring
Worker-Focused Hiring
May 10, 2022 – 1 min read – Eightfold AI

It’s a candidate’s market, and expectations have changed. Here’s how employers can succeed with worker-focused hiring processes.

Skills-Based Talent Strategy
Skills-Based Talent Strategy
Jan 10, 2023 – 1 min read – Eightfold AI

Preparing for a new year likely seems daunting. So, HR teams should consider major labor market trends as they create their talent strategy.

Show More (9)Show Less
AI Workforce Planning
AI Workforce Planning
Jul 20, 2021 – 1 min read – Eightfold AI

The pandemic has altered the world of work and the HR industry. The Q4 2021 return to work will be a time of evolution and transformation.

Future Hiring Skills
Future Hiring Skills
Dec 17, 2019 – 1 min read – Eightfold AI

We explore the three most important skills to have in in 2030 and how employers can plan for new workforces and the future of hiring.

Adaptive Workforce Strategies
Adaptive Workforce Strategies
Sep 09, 2026 – 1 min read – Mahima Sharma

Discover the three moves driving workforce adaptability and turning change exhaustion into competitive edge.

AI Talent Intelligence Trends
AI Talent Intelligence Trends
Dec 27, 2022 – 10 min read – Eightfold AI

Skills-driven hiring and reskilling must be the focus of talent planning as employers remain agile in today's unpredictable environment.

AI and Employee Training
AI and Employee Training
Feb 20, 2024 – 8 min read – Sania Khan

Balancing AI benefits and employee training can advance the labor market this year. Here are three predictions for the labor market in 2024.

AI Hiring Strategy
AI Hiring Strategy
Jun 27, 2023 – 1 min read – Eightfold AI

Talent acquisition needs a new approach that combines the best recruiting practices with real-time data insights.

Tourism Worker Matching
Tourism Worker Matching
Oct 07, 2020 – 1 min read – Todd Raphael

The toll that the pandemic has taken on tourism jobs around the world is incredible. A United Nations report finds...

Labor Planning Intelligence
Labor Planning Intelligence
Jan 05, 2023 – 10 min read – Eightfold AI

While talent teams can’t plan for everything, they can and should insulate their talent planning systems from economic uncertainties.

Talent Pipeline
Talent Pipeline
Jan 12, 2021 – 1 min read – Eightfold AI

The pandemic may linger on, but its economic effects are finite. Here’s how to be prepared to fill your talent pipeline and hire the people you need.

Share Popup Title

Share this article